Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 224.314260 272.663352 334.315606 421.029514 543.968430 719.185767 1002.955137
2025-01-05 159.780258 210.700969 284.476386 406.228226 619.081765 1019.484101 1990.687932
2025-01-12 129.982855 180.863911 261.317620 410.786036 721.216080 1481.737552 4497.033476
2025-01-19 109.133926 157.349526 238.258606 401.951160 790.939336 1997.862166 10619.382405
2025-01-26 101.311845 152.007777 243.085171 447.356469 1026.749284 3613.945481 93271.006173
2025-02-02 98.132749 153.389313 260.070901 528.644139 1478.413546 9074.817262 NaN
2025-02-09 88.157373 140.452785 244.938704 523.608664 1635.532982 15131.342967 NaN
2025-02-16 81.240694 131.964139 236.946361 534.643842 1897.494038 32721.967750 NaN
2025-02-23 75.381863 124.524455 229.440737 543.998791 2191.048969 93249.530254 NaN
2025-03-02 70.849915 118.997785 225.029069 561.726199 2608.731725 782912.167475 NaN
2025-03-09 66.418690 113.034494 218.279045 568.710596 3002.295528 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 61.487796 105.422583 206.026578 550.345710 3144.964585 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 59.148125 103.517737 209.220592 600.835441 4418.544824 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 54.153161 95.338812 194.593899 571.153330 4565.734155 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 50.940895 90.691875 188.611773 577.588357 5494.442439 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 47.513251 85.156390 179.114747 563.044075 6014.358526 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 46.755452 85.535027 186.377202 637.507615 10477.250295 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 47.010006 88.282062 201.484997 775.375534 28930.459660 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 44.440415 83.951293 193.655083 766.668171 37030.896621 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 42.568310 81.118753 190.113614 785.773269 60441.909404 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 40.815838 78.393169 186.401258 802.050041 107013.462465 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 39.397189 76.351556 184.603643 833.095515 275667.987162 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 37.855943 73.844900 180.741822 845.399097 807998.951708 NaN NaN